Selected Publications and Working Papers

For a more detailed list of scholarly activity, please consult my CV.

Data sets and replication materials can be found on their own page.

Peer-Reviewed (Articles and Book Chapters):

Forthcoming: Preble, Keith A. 2023. ““Just Right”: The Goldilocks Theory of Sanctions Busting’s Causes” Foreign Policy Analysis.

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2021. “Chapter 23: Grand Strategy and the Tools of Economic Statecraft.” Oxford Handbook of Grand StrategyEds. Thierry Balzacq and Ronald R. Krebs. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2020. “Going Fishing Versus Hunting Whales: Explaining Variation in the United States’ Enforcement of Economic Sanctions.” Security Studies 29(2): 231-267.

Public Scholarship:

Preble, Keith A. and Bryan R. Early. 2022. “Eliminating sanctions on the Taliban won’t solve Afghanistan’s deepening humanitarian crisis.War on the Rocks (26 January).

Preble, Keith A. 2021. “Sanctions reform should start with the Treasury Office Enforcing them.” War on the Rocks (9 November).

Brockmann, Kolja and Keith A. Preble. 2021. “Mitigating Humanitarian Impact in a Complex Sanctions Environment: The European Union and the Sanctions Regimes against Iran.” Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

Early, Bryan R., and Keith A. Preble. 2021. “The Past, Present, and Future of U.S. Sanctions Enforcement.War on the Rocks (21 February).

Early, Bryan R., and Keith A. Preble. 2020. “Enforcing US Economic Sanctions: Why Whale Hunting Works.The Washington Quarterly 43(1): 159-175.

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2019. “Trends in U.S. Sanctions Enforcement During the Trump Administration.” Compliance & Enforcement,  NYU Law’s Program on Corporate Compliance and Enforcement (30 January).

Preble, Keith and Bryan R. Early. 2018. “‘Sanctions Busting’: The Risks and Rewards to those Trying to Circumvent the System.SanctionsAlert.com (15 June).

Early, Bryan R. and Keith Preble. 2017. “America needs Europe’s help with sanctions. It may not get it.” Monkey Cage/Washington Post (24 August).

Master’s Theses:

Preble, Keith A. 2017. “Abandoning policies of hostility and isolation: a punctuated equilibrium model of foreign policy change in U.S. foreign relations.” Master’s Thesis. Northwestern University.

Preble, Keith A. 2014. “Italy and the Suez Canal Crisis (1955-1956): The Foundations of a Multilateralist Foreign Policy.” Master’s Thesis. St. John’s University.