Publications and Working Papers

Peer-Reviewed:

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2020. “Going Fishing Versus Hunting Whales: Explaining Variation in the United States’ Enforcement of Economic Sanctions.” Security Studies 29(2): 231-267. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09636412.2020.1722850

  • Data set for Security Studies paper can be found on the Harvard Dataverse: Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2020, “OFAC Civil Penalties and Enforcement Actions (2003-2019)”, https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/UD3FFR, Harvard Dataverse.

ForthcomingEarly, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2020. “Economic statecraft.” Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Public Scholarship:

Early, Bryan R., and Keith A. Preble. 2020. “Enforcing US Economic Sanctions: Why Whale Hunting Works.” The Washington Quarterly 43(1): 159-175. doi: 10.1080/0163660X.2020.1736881

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2019. “Trends in U.S. Sanctions Enforcement During the Trump Administration.” Compliance & Enforcement, blog: https://wp.nyu.edu/compliance_enforcement/2019/01/30/trends-in-u-s-sanctions-enforcement-during-the-trump-administration

Early, Bryan R. and Keith A. Preble. 2018. “Enforcing Economic Sanctions: Analyzing How OFAC Implements U.S. Sanctions Policies.” SSRN. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3306653

Preble, Keith and Bryan R. Early. 2018. “‘Sanctions Busting’: The Risks and Rewards to those Trying to Circumvent the System.” SanctionsAlert.com. June 15. https://sanctionsassociation.org/sanctions-busting-the-risks-and-rewards-to-those-trying-to-circumvent-the-system

Early, Bryan R. and Keith Preble. 2017. “America needs Europe’s help with sanctions. It may not get it.” Monkey Cage (via Washington Post). 24 August. URL: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/08/24/america-needs-europes-help-with-sanctions-it-may-not-get-it

Under Review:

Preble, Keith A. 2020. “Affordable Adjustments and Exploitable Opportunities: The Search for Alternatives to Sanctions Busting Trade.” SSRNhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3684065.

Preble, Keith A. 2017/2020. “Two’s company, three’s a crowd”: a logic of “three-level games” in Southeast Asia

Preble, Keith A. and Zheng Wang. 2020.Do Crosscutting cleavages affect the quality of democracy?”

Working Papers:

Preble, Keith A. and Zheng Wang. 2019. “Do cross-cutting cleavages affect
democratization? An investigation into democracy during the Third Wave, 1972-2002.”

Preble, Keith. 2018. “Sanctions busting, ”safety valves,” and norms: the effects of intra-EU trade on sanctions busting.”
Data and R script(s) available on request.
Accepted to NY State Political Science Association Annual Meeting at Wagner College on April 13-14, 2018; Accepted at APSA Annual Meeting, Boston, MA on August 31-September 2, 2018

Master’s Theses:

Preble, Keith A. 2017. “Abandoning policies of hostility and isolation: a punctuated equilibrium model of foreign policy change in U.S. foreign relations.” Master’s thesis. Northwestern University.

Preble, Keith A. 2014. “Italy and the Suez Canal Crisis (1955-1956): The Foundations of a Multilateralist Foreign Policy.” Master’s thesis. St. John’s University.